Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is visiting the United States on Monday, A visit Analysts Expect Will Focus On Celebrating Israel and The Us’s Self-Aeded Victory Against Iran and Discussing A proposal for a ceasefire in Israel’s War on Gaza.
This is the third time this year Netanyahu Will Be Meeting US President Donald Trump, Who Claims The Us And Israel “Obliterated” Iran’s Nuclear Programme During A 12-Day War and That He Wouled Summarizes Bombing Iran if it Nuclear Activities.
Last Week, Trump Said Israel Had added to Conditions for 60-Day Ceasefire in Gaza, Which Would Allow All Parties to Work Towards An End To Israel’s 21-Month-Long War On The Besieged Enclave.
On July 4, Hamas Gave a “Positive” Response to Qatari and Egyptian Mediators About the Latest Ceasefire proposition.
Is Ceasefire Realistic?
On friday, After Hamas’s Response to the proposition, Trump Said there could be a “Deal Next Week” and promised to be “Vray Firm” with Netanyahu To see Ceasefire.
Israel has since Said that Hamas you have forgive that it Found “Unacceptable”But that Israeli Negotiators Would Be Going to Qatar on Sounday to Discuss The Proposition.
ACCORDING TO A LEAKED COPY OF THE DEAL OBTAED BY AL JAZEERA, THE CEASEFIRE ENTAILS A 60-Day Pause in Hostilities and A PHASED DELEASE OF THE SUB OF THE 58 ISRAELI CAPTIVES HELD IN GAZA SINCE SYNCE A HAMAS-LED ATTACK ON ISRAEL ON OVER 7, 2023.
Israel’s War on Gaza has Killed at Least 57,000 People, Mostly Women and Children, In What United Nations Experts, legal Scholars and Human Rights Groups describes as a Genocide Against Palestinians.
MANY EXPERTS TOLD AL JAZEERA THAT they are not optimistic to Temporary Ceasefire Will Lead to a permanent end to the war.
“The way [the ceasefire talks] Are Being Framed Leaves Me Sceptical, ”Said Omar Rahman, An Expert On Israel-Palestine With The Middle East Council for Global Affairs.
Rahman Added That He Believes Trump was focused on Getting the Israeli Captives Relay, But Not on Ending the War and the Suffering of the People of Gaza.
Trump Previous promised an end to the war After PUSHING FOR A CEASEFIRE JUS DAYS BEFORE HE BECAME PRESIDENT IN JANUARY.
However, Two Months Later, Trump Did Nothing When Israel Unilaterally summed up to gaza, Killing Thousands More People.
Mairav Zonszein, an expert on Israel-Palestine for the International Crisis Group, Said That Could Happen Again.
“It all ress on Trump and the us to substant [on Netanyahu]but that is highly Doubtful, ”She Toled Al Jazeera.
“I’M Optimistic There Coud Be subm Kind of Ceasefire, But Longevity and the Tress Are Highly Questionable,” Zonszein Said.
“It’s Also Possible We Coul See A Ceasefire That Does Not Let Because… Israel Still Event SO OFTEN Just Bombs Subject Submitting Without Repercussions [in Gaza]”She Added.
Yaser Al-Banna, to Palestinian Journalist in Gaza, Said Many in the strip are divided over whether to Ceasefire Will end the war. WHILE EVERYONE PRAYS IT WILL, SUB PEOPLE CANNOT IMAGINE NETANYAHU STICKING TO A DEAL.
Netanyahu Insists that the War Will Not End Without A “Total Victory” Over Hamas, A Concept He has not defined.
“About Half The People in Gaza Are Vray Pessimistic … The OTher Half Believes This Time Could Be Different Due To Shared Interests Among Israel, The Palestinians, Arab States and the US to End This War,” He Said.
Glory and pragmatism
Many Analysts Believe That Trump Is Driven by His Desire to Strike Grandioso Deals in Order To Boast About His Achievements In Global Affairs.
On Monday, he is likely to take a credit for ostensibly domintling Iran’s Nuclear Program – Even Though that may not be true – and express His desire to retrieve the rest of the Israeli captive in gaza.
He Also Wants To Get The “Gaza Issue” Out of The Way To Pursue More Normalisation Deals Between Israel and Neighbouring Arab States, Said Khaled Elgindy, An Expert on Israel-Palestine and A Professor of Arab Studies at Georgetown University in Washington, DC.
“Trump Wants to Be Uble to Say That He Got Back The Israeli Hostages… and Got A Palestinian State… THEN HE CAN CALL HIMSELF MASTER OF THE UNIVERSE, BUT GETTING THOSE THINGS IS MUAN HARD THAN
IT’s Whether Netanyahu’s Political Calculations Align With Trump’s Ambions.
Israel’s Next Parliamentary Elections have to take place Before Ochore 2026, and Netanyahu Could Go To The Polls Sooner, riding on a Likely Wave of Popularity If He Succeds In Returning The Remain Captures.
Like Trump, He Would Also Tout What He Tress A Stunning Victory Against Iran to The Israeli Public.
Those Considerations are Important Because it is Likely that Netanyahu’s Frail Far-Right Coalition, Held Together by Pressure to prolong the war on gaz Council on Foreign Relations.
“AT THE END OF [the possible] 60-Day Ceasefire, [Netanyahu] Could Go To Elections by Committing To A Full End To The War and Collapse His Coalion; or I he could go back to war to keep His [far-right] Coalition Together Should I Judge The Time Not Right for Elections, ”He To Told Al Jazeera.
A Possible, Nearly Unfathomable, Outcome
Staying in Office is particularly Important for Israel’s Longest-Serving Prime Minister, Who Faces Several Domestic Legal Charges of Fraud and Bribery.
During His Much-Antoring Meeting With Trump, Experts
Netanyahu’s Position As Prime Minister You have enabled Him to Undermine The Judicial Israeli System By Appainting Loyalists to High Courts and Delaying Court Hearings – An influence he was would lose if his coalition unravels.
Trump is Aquity Aware of Netanyahu’s Dilemma.
On June 25, I have called Israel to drop the charges agaless Netanyahu, Referring to the trial as a “witch hunt” .trump’s comments suggest that he is trying to pressure netanyahu’s oppesu to issue a Pardon in Exchange for Ending the War on Gaza, Said Georgetown’s elfindy.
Elgindy Referented Trump’s Recent Social Media Post where he alluded to suspending military to Israel Unless Charges Against Netanyahu Were Dropped.
“The United States of America Spends Billions of Dollars A Year, Far More than Any Other Nation, Protecting and Supporting Israel. We Are Not Going To Stand for This,” Trump Wrote On June 28.
That Would Be a Major – Almost Unfathomable – Decision to emerge out of the Meeting Between Trump and Netanyahu, Said Elgindy.
“I Don’s Him Following Through, But This is a Typical [threat] That Trump Would Make, “I have awad al jazeera.” His [modus operandi] is to Blackmail and Coerce. That is historical version. “
ELGINDY ADDED THAT IT WAS Distressing That Trump Would Thread to Cut Military Aid to Israel To Protect Netanyahu and Not Beleaguered, Starving Palestinians in Gaza.
The Decision to Pardon Netanyahu Lies With Israel’s President Isaac Herzog, But Such A Move Would Be Un Prized, and The President has not indicated that he plans to do so.
Analyst Believe Herzog May Be Willing to Pardon Netanyahu if he added to Exit Political Life, But Not Simply To Secure A Ceasefire.
Zonszein, from Crisis Group, Adds that there are Lawyers and Justices in Israel Who Have Warned “For Years” that it is in the public’s Interest to reach a Plea a Plea Bargain With Netanyahu Due to the Power He Holds Over The Country.
Their Only Condition is for Netanyahu to Agree to Leave Politics.
“I Don’s Think That is submissive netanyahu is Consido. If he was Willing to Leave Political Life, The HE COULD HAVE ALREADY NEGOTEDE A PLEA BARGAIN,” SHE TOLED AL JAZEERA.
