Can Ukraine win the war on Russia and recover its entire territory, how do Trump think now?

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Then, Trump He wrote in Truth social that, after better understanding the economic and military situation of Ukraine and Russiahe had concluded that “Ukraine, with the support of the European Union, is in a position to fight and recover all Ukraine in its original form … With time, patience and financial support of Europe, and in particular of NATO, the original borders from where this war began are a viable option. Why not? Russia has been three and a half years Fighting aimlessly in a war that an authentic military power should have won in less than a week “.

“This does not distinguish Russia. In fact, it makes them look like a ‘paper tiger’. When the inhabitants of Moscow and all the big cities, towns and districts of Russia They discover the true nature of this war, the almost impossibility of obtaining gasoline through the long lines that are formed, and everything that happens in their war economy, where most of the money is spent on fighting Ukrainewho has a great spirit and increasingly better, Ukraine can recover his country in its original form and, who knows, maybe even go further! Putin and Russia are in serious economic problems, and this is the time that Ukraine acts. In any case, I wish both countries the best. We will continue to supply NATO weapons so that he does what he wants with them. Good luck to all! “ Trump held in his extensive message.

When talking about the recovery of all Ukraine In its original form, probably Trump It refers to the internationally recognized borders of that country in 1991, when it became independent of the Soviet Union.

Since he assumed the position of president of USA On January 20, it is the first time that Trump suggests that Ukraine could recover all the territory that Russia has taken, including the Crimean Peninsulawhich was annexed by Putin in 2014.

Zelensky expressed his satisfaction for the change in position of Trump. “Clearly understand the situation and is well informed about all aspects of this war,” said.

At the moment, Russia controls approximately 20 % of the territory of Ukraine.

Russians dominate all Crimea99% of Lugansk75% of Donetskand much of Zaporizhzhia and Kherson.

To end the war, Putin requires that all of those five territories be given and that Ukraine He refrains from entering NATO.

Ukraine has said that he will not give in any territory.

Trump also supported the right of NATO Member States to tear down Russian combat planes That they violate their airspace, in response to a series of recent Russian incursions in Poland with drones and Estonia with combat planes.

The president of the United States remarked that his country will continue to supply weapons to the List of priority requirements for Ukraine (Purl)initiative of the NATO whereby European states buy American manufacturing weapons to give them to kyiv.

Russia reacted on Wednesday and said that you have no choice but to continue its offensive in Ukraine.

“We continue with our special military operation to guarantee our interests and achieve the objectives that (…) the president of our country established from the beginning”declared the spokesman of the Russian presidency, Dmitri Peskov, to the RBC radio.

“We act like this for the present and future of our country, for generations to come. We have no other alternative”Peskov emphasized.

Can Ukraine win the war?

For the international analyst Francesco Tuccithe 180 degree turn in the speech of Trump Regarding war It is a reaction to the frustration of the Republican due to the lack of advances in negotiations with Putin.

Tucci said Trumpknown for its unpredictable temperament, It hardens its position after verifying that Moscow has not yielded at any pointwhile Zelensky Yes it agreed to make concessions, such as the agreement with the United States on rare earths.

“I think the breakdown was Alaska’s summit of August 15. There are zero results of this meeting, it did not lead to anything”Tucci told Commerce.

To frustration by Alaska The pressure of the allies of the NATOconcerned about repeated Russian incursions in European airspace, Tucci said.

The analyst highlighted the radical change of the relationship of Trump with Zelensky. “If he was publicly disqualified, he even humiliated him in the White House, now he seems to be his iron ally. Trump is quite temperamental “.

But in the current conditions, will Ukraine be able to recover its territory?

Tucci doubts it, because he remarked that he has a key problem, which is the lack of soldiers. He also said that the country has suffered great losses in the war front due to the complexity of the battlefield, where the Russians have placed heavy artilleryhave undermined extensive territories and use drones to neutralize the enemy.

“All this means that an effective Ukrainian counteroffensive cannot be forecast under current conditions,” He emphasized.

As for whether the new position of Trump It will mean the direct delivery of more weapons to Ukraine, Tucci recalled that the Republican does not want the United States to spend more on European defense.

Tucci said Trump will continue to press European countries to increase their defense expenditure up to 5 % of GDPwhile the United States seeks to reduce its financial burden without losing global influence.

Then, he considered that Trump’s turn reflects more a political and pressure strategy than a real guarantee that Ukraine can recover all its occupied territories.

Chronology: Trump, Putin and War in Ukraine (2023-2025)

🟠 Electoral campaign (2023-2024)

• Central promise: “I will end the war in 24 hours.”
• Repeated message on rallies: “I want Russian and Ukrainians to stop dying.”

🟠 January 2025 – assumes the presidency

• Inaugural speech: “I will bring unity and stop all wars.”
• Initial threat of sanctions if Russia did not accept negotiating.

🟠 February 2025 – Summit in Saudi Arabia

• Called with Putin and first negotiations.
• Nuanced promise: “My 24 -hour phrase was a bit sarcastic.”

🟠 Spring 2025

• Press Europe: ask NATO to spend 5 % of GDP in defense.
• He acknowledges that Russia “has not yielded anything” in the negotiations.

🟠 August 2025 – Meeting in Alaska

• Trump evaluates “territories exchange” formulas for peace.
• Frustration signals: It accuses Moscow of delaying the conversations.

🟠 September 23, 2025

• Radical turn: “Ukraine can recover its entire territory.”
• He assures that, with European support and patience, kyiv can win the war.

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