The third great United States game?: Elon Musk challenges Trump and Lanza America Party

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On June 30, Musk, The richest man in the worldI had already promised that I was going to found a political party.

Then, Musk was on a crusade to prevent Congress from approved Trump’s extensive budget and fiscal billwhich was finally adopted by the Senate on Tuesday.

“If this demential draft expense bill is approved, the next day will be formed by the United States party,” He wrote last Monday in one of several messages to his 220 million followers in X. “Our country needs an alternative to Democratic-Republican Unipartisan so that the people really have a voice “he continued.

On Saturday, after doing a survey between his followers in X and re -criticizing the budget and fiscal law of TrumpMusk announced the creation of his party:

“For a factor of 2 to 1, you want a new political party and you should have it. When it refers to bankruptcy to our country with waste and corruption, we live in a system of a party, not a democracy. Today, it has formed in America Party to return their freedom“he wrote in X.

Musk said that 1.2 million users participated in the virtual survey to create a new gameof which 65 % marked the “yes.”

In response, Trump lashed out at Musk on Sunday and said his exaliate was “out of control.”

“I am sad to see how Elon Musk It is now completely ‘out of control’ and It has become a disaster in the last five weeks“wrote Trump In social truth. “He even wants to create a third political party, although they have never been successful in the United States.”

After assuming power on January 20, Trump commissioned Musk to direct the Government Efficiency Department (Doge)with the mission of supervising the mass cuts of federal expenditure and the restructuring of agencies, including layoffs, relocations of functions and operational closure of organisms such as USAID.

However, Musk abandoned the doge in May to focus full on their companies, since sales and image of the electric car manufacturer Tesla They were affected by their brief incursion into the nearby circle of Trump. But then he returned strongly to battle against the president’s budget project.

Congress, the first test

What comes now? Elon Musk He has given few details of his party.

What he has said is that It will support the applicants for the primaries for the congress to dispute any Republican who has voted in favor of Trump’s law. These elections will be held in 2026.

“Supporting a presidency candidate is not ruled out, but In the next 12 months the priority will be the House of Representatives and the Senate”, Musk wrote on X on Sunday. Currently, both cameras are dominated by Republicans.

For the international analyst Francisco Belaunde Matossian The next elections will be the first big test to America Partybecause it will be able to measure how much the active participation of Musk In politics.

“It will be interesting to see how many parliamentarians manages to place. In addition, it must be taken into account that he will have the financial power that perhaps in the past other independent politicians did not have”Belaunde highlighted Commerce.

“But we must also consider that there are still millionaires who support Trump, so that It will be an epic battle”, He added.

What is the ideology of the party?

Musk He republished on Sunday an ideology of the Tesla Owners Silicon Valley account, a non -profit regional club founded in 2018, and said “Yes!” to the following ideas:

• Reduce debt.
• Modernize the military wing with artificial intelligence (AI).
• Less regulation, especially in energy.
• Freedom of expression.
• Pronatalism.
• Centrist policies in the remaining.

For Belaunde, Basically Musk will finance candidates for parliament that are in their line, “That is against the country to generate more debt and accentuate the deficit.”

Do you already have allies?

The EFE agency indicated that the businessman Mark Cuban, The financial Anthony Sacramucci and the technological investor Tyler Palmer They have expressed support for Musk’s political initiative, while Treasury secretary, Scott Besent (with whom he has had several encounters), has opined that he is “the best” in his companies, but in politics it is not the most “popular.”

Can Elon Musk launch into the presidency of the United States?

Muskborn in South Africa and nationalized in the United States, cannot aspire to the presidency but influence it. He did it in the previous campaign to be the largest Republican donor to support Trump.

According to an analysis of The Washington Post, Musk allocated a total of 288 million dollars In the 2024 electoral cycle, mainly for Trump and other Republicans.

Can Trump retaliate?

Elon Musk He owns Tesla, Spacexthe social network X, Neuralink, XAIamong other companies. It has a heritage that is around 400,000 million dollars. Now becoming Trump’s enemy, many fear that the Republicans could retaliate against him or his companies.

Last week, when journalists asked him if he will deport Elon Muskthe president replied: “I don’t know, we’ll have to look. We suddenly have to put Doge against Elon. Do you know what Doge is? Doge is the monster that suddenly has to go and eat Elon, wouldn’t it be terrible? He receives many subsidies, but it is very annoying because the mandate of electric vehicles is over”.

As CNN explained, Within its policy against Trump immigrants also promotes the revocation of citizens to the naturalized. There was already at least one case under his mandate.

Precisely Belaunde believes that If Trump takes a retaliation against Musk, this would be to take away the nationality.

“It will not be so easy to retaliate by removing contracts to its companies, because for example the United States space program now depends, in large part, on private ones, particularly Elon Musk,” Belaunde said.

Tesla’s actions

At noon on Monday, Tesla’s actions fell more than 6 % in Wall Street after Musk announced the creation of his party.

At the opening of the day, Tesla fell 7.71%, with a price of $ 290.89 per share, being below the threshold of a billion dollars of stock market capitalization.

“The fact that Musk It gets more involved in politics (…) is exactly the opposite direction than Tesla’s investors and shareholders want me to take “explained Daniel Iives, from Wedbush, in a note.

Is there space for a strong third game?

Throughout history, no third game He has managed to break the bipartisan hegemony in the United States at least temporarily.

But there are examples of formations that achieved good results, such as Progressive Party (also known as the “Bull Moose Party”) founded on 1912 by the former president Theodore Roosevelt.

That same 1912, after breaking with the Republican Party, Roosevelt nominated for the progressive party. Obtained 27% of the popular vote and won 88 electoral votessurpassing the official republican candidate, William Howard Taft, which was third.

That of Progressive Party It was the Better performance of a third game in the modern history of the USA.

In the 1968 presidential elections George Wallace, with the American Independent Partywon 5 southern states and 46 electoral votes.

In 1992, the independent candidate Ross Perot obtained 19% of the popular votealthough he did not win electoral votes. It was the third best result from Roosevelt.

Can the Musk party stand out? Belaunde does not rule it out. “In politics everything is possible. In the United States there are analysts who report that there would be a space for a third party. It must be considered that there are many Republicans who surely feel uncomfortable with Trump, and others who are fed up with bipartisanship. It cannot be ruled out that politics begins to divide politics in the United States.”

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