“A hell in Gaza”: What can happen after Trump’s warning to Hamas for suspending hostage delivery?

Through a statement, Hamas’s military spokesman, Abu obeidaexplained what are the alleged breaches of Israel. He said there was a delay on the date on which the Gazaties had to return to the north of Loop: it was planned to be on day 7 of the agreement, but Israel He delayed the process five days until the liberation of Hosta Arbel Yehud.

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Hamas He also denounced that Israeli attacks and bombings have continued in Loop, causing the death of about thirty people, despite the agreement of Alto El Fuego.

Another aspect that mentioned Hamas It is the slow entry of “relief supplies of all kinds”, such as 200,000 tents and prefabricated housing that should have reached the displaced population, in addition to Heavy machinery to remove debris.

This Tuesday, the Israeli security cabinet met and supported the idea of Trump.

Netanyahu He said yes Hamas It does not release the hostages before Saturday at noon, Israel will start an armed offensive in Gaza.

“The decision that was approved unanimously in the cabinet is this: if Hamas does not return to our hostages before Saturday at noon, the high fire will end and the army will fight again intensely until Hamas is finally defeated,” said Netanyahu In a video store, without specifying whether it refers to the three captives who were planned in the exchange of the Saturday Oa the nine of the first phase of the agreement that are still alive.

The EFE agency said that an Israeli official clarified to the press of his country that it is the 9 hostages that are still alive, and that they should be released in the 42 days of the first phase of Alto El Fuego, which ends the 1 March.

“In the light of the announcement of Hamas From his decision to violate the agreement and not free our hostages, last night I ordered that the armed forces meet inside and around himTo Gaza Strip. This operation is being carried out at this time and will be completed soon ”Netanyahu said.

Mahmud Mardawi, member of the political bureau of Hamashe spoke with Efe and responded to Israeli prime minister: “Netanyahu must implement the word pact by word. This will ensure that everything advances well and without delays, and will lead to the release of prisoners from both sides ”said.

Textually, this was what he said Trump Monday at the Oval Office of the White House: “As far as I am concerned, if they do not return to all the hostages before Saturday at 12 -an appropriate time. What I would say is that we cancel everything and everything is allowed and let hell open “.

“I say it in my name. Israel can do what they consider, ”he added Trumpwho did not want to rule out that USA could be involved in that answer if Hamas It does not complete the liberation of hostages.

Hamas Resopted a Trump On Tuesday and reiterated that the hostages will be returned if all parties maintain their commitment to the high fire agreement reached in January.

“Trump must remember that there is an agreement (of truce) that both parties must respect, and that this is the only way to make the prisoners return,” He declared the AFP agency the protovoz Sami Abu Zuhri.

“The language of threats has no value and does nothing but further complicate things”he added.

Hamas He attacked Spectively in Israeli territory on October 7, 2023, killing 1,210 people, mostly civilians. The Islamists also kidnapped 251 people, of which 73 are still in Gazaincluding 35 that would have died, according to the Israeli army.

The offensive launched in response by Israel killed at least 48,209 people in Loopalso civilly, according to data from the Ministry of Health of the Palestinian territory.

Until now, The current high fire allowed the release of 21 hostagesamong them 16 Israelis, in exchange for more than 700 Palestinian prisoners imprisoned in Israel.

In total, 33 Israeli hostages have to be released in the first phase of this truce.

Does the fire be in danger?

The International Journalist and Analyst Carlos Novoa, Specialized in topics of the Middle Easthe said to Commerce that the high fire has been in danger since its inception. “It is very difficult to think that the three stages will be fulfilled, as established in the pact”he said.

Indeed, the First stagewhich has been fulfilled on droppers, consists of a six -week truce, time in which Hamas compensated to free 33 hostages in exchange for more than 1,000 Palestinians prisoners in Israeli prisons.

At this stage, Israel It will allow the entry of more humanitarian and fuel aid to Gaza, and will withdraw from the main roads to allow the return of the Palestinian displaced to their homes, which in much of the strip are only rubble.

The agreement stipulates that 16 days after the ceasefire will begin a new round of negotiationswhere it is planned to address key issues about Gaza’s future, as who will rule the territory and if Israel It will completely retire from the enclave. This after the release of the last living hostages and the delivery of the bodies of those who died in captivity, in exchange for the release of Palestinian prisoners.

However, half Times of Israel has reported that Netanyahu has kept the door open in recent days to the resumption of fighting with Hamas instead of continuing with the second phase of the agreement.

Phase 3 of the agreement stipulates the Gaza reconstruction.

“In recent days there were signs that the cease-fire It was necessary to stop, which is what is happening now with this unilateral decision of Hamas to suspend the release of hostages. Now thinking about the following stages is complicated, it would be an interesting scenario if it can be met, but given the conditions in which Hamas and Israel are found is very difficult ”said Novoa.

Therefore, the analyst believes that Israel Yes, he would be willing to resume his military operations in Loop very strongly.

“What Hamas has done, that of delivering hostages to droppers, is a kind of propaganda exercise. They show them dresses in a way, receiving diplomas, gifts, in the midst of Palestinians who are there, a pantomime, and that is unacceptable to the Israelis, but they have been tolerating it because it meant, we will say, the last act of the hostages Before being delivered to the Red Cross and then being released in Israel, ”said Novoa.

As for whether Israeli public opinion would tolerate or the resumption of war, Novoa said there is division and a very intense debate, where a central aspect has to do with the idea that Hamas has not been defeated, as Netanyahu had promised to end the war.

“The propaganda exercise that Hamás carries out that is in force, because although it is true the attacks of Israel have caused the decline of thousands of militants of this group considered terrorist, it is also easy for them to integrate new militaries, especially young people They have no other concept of life because they have practically born at war, that coupled with resentment for the death of relatives pays a lot so that Hamas can have people on their side ”, Novoa remarked.

Regarding what was said by TrumpNovoa said he is in maximalist positions since he began his government on January 20.

“When he says that Hell will open in Gaza, I interpret those words like A green light to the Government of Israel, its army, to drag with Gaza if this is not fixed ”.

“Then, we are facing two very delicate scenarios. On the one hand, the wait for more than 70 hostages that are missing to release, and at this point I think that Hamas will lose a lot of legitimacy when returning them because the last three that liberated were seen in unfortunate conditions, the rest must be worse. That’s where Hamas’s propaganda is going to fall, and that is why they have put this pretext of suspending liberation to gain time and be able to recover them, ”said Novoa.

“In the second scenario, if not released, Trump is going to give a green light for Netanyahu to drag the gaza strip without any limit”