The surveys published in the last few hours in Chilibefore the electoral ban comes into force this Sunday at midnight, agree on naming the winner of the presidential second round from December 14 to the extreme right José Antonio Kast.
The former ultra-Catholic deputy, who is competing for the third time to reach La Moneda, leads the leftist by between 12 and 16 points in the polls published so far. Jeannette Jara.
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The former communist minister of the Boric Government won the first round on November 16, with 26.8%, but being the sole candidate of a broad progressive coalition, she does not have many more votes from which to draw.
Kast, on the other hand, got 23.9% of the votes, but has already received the support of the far-right libertarian Johannes Kaiser and the former mayor Evelyn Mattheirepresentative of the traditional right, who came in fourth and fifth place, with 13.9% and 12.4%, respectively.
The three add up to more than 50%, although experts warn that the transfer of votes is not completely direct and that Kast, to achieve a more comfortable victory, will have to seduce other voters, such as those who opted for the populist economist Franco Parisi, who came third with 19.7%.
The polls that give Kast the greatest advantage (16 points) are Criteria, which gives him 51% in voting intention, compared to 35% for Jara and 14% in null or blank votes; and UDD Citizen Panelwhich ensures that the leader of the Republican Party she would obtain 50%, compared to 34% for Boric’s former minister and 16% for the null, blank or abstention vote.
The survey Data influence shows, meanwhile, 49% voting intention for Kast, 34% for Jara, 14% null or white and 3% abstention, despite the fact that voting is mandatory.
The one that predicts the least distance is Cademwhich shows 46% for the far-right, 34% for the left and 20% of people who would not vote, do not know or do not respond.
MORE INFORMATION: Chile is going to the second electoral round: “There is a greater chance that Kast will consolidate than Jara will rise”
Since 2006, no president in Chili He has been succeeded by someone from the same political line and power has oscillated between left and right.
The first and only right-winger to come to power so far has been the late Sebastián Piñera, who did so in two non-consecutive terms (2010-2014 and 2018-2022).
The electoral law prohibits the dissemination of polls fifteen days before the elections, so starting at midnight this Saturday the authorities will fine any media outlet that broadcasts polls, although publication on social networks is not punishable.
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